NET Rating Tracker

Roy McAvoy · Post by **Roy McAvoy** » December 19th, 2019, 11:01 am

treesap32 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 9:41 am
The life of NET ratings... Win against USF on a neutral site and drop in the rankings. USF went up by losing to us.

I think our drop was more due to LSU losing to East Tennessee state.

slcagg · Post by **slcagg** » December 19th, 2019, 11:16 am

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 11:01 am

treesap32 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 9:41 am
The life of NET ratings... Win against USF on a neutral site and drop in the rankings. USF went up by losing to us.
I think our drop was more due to LSU losing to East Tennessee state.

Correct. But as I pointed out in another thread I’m not sure why LSU is so high. They are higher than all 3 teams they have lost to.

SLB · Post by **SLB** » December 19th, 2019, 11:19 am

slcagg wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 11:16 am

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 11:01 am

treesap32 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 9:41 am
The life of NET ratings... Win against USF on a neutral site and drop in the rankings. USF went up by losing to us.
I think our drop was more due to LSU losing to East Tennessee state.
Correct. But as I pointed out in another thread I’m not sure why LSU is so high. They are higher than all 3 teams they have lost to.

It is whole score efficiency focus added to the NET rankings.

Zaggie07 · Post by **Zaggie07** » December 19th, 2019, 4:33 pm

ProvoAggie wrote:This is something that treesap and I are working on. It's not done yet but you can see our schedule breakdown with NET Quadrants and records here:

https://www.bracketologists.com/team/utah-state-aggies

Outside of the team pages not a lot is complete yet.

Amazing website. Wow.

If you are taking suggestions, on the team pages I notice that the chart which tracks NET rating over time scales from 1-400. It can be difficult to see changes. Would there be any way to dynamically make the scale fit the values better? So, for the Aggies our NET has gone from 47 to 47 to 51 to 55. Perhaps fit the scale from 45 to 60. If our rating moves outside of that, the scale would adjust accordingly, such as if we move up to 43 the scale would be 40 to 60.

Might not be as good for comparing teams since the scale would be different for each, but I don't suppose that is the main use of the trend line anyway.

Anyway, just a thought.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

Post by **ProvoAggie** » December 19th, 2019, 5:01 pm

Zaggie07 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 4:33 pm

ProvoAggie wrote:This is something that treesap and I are working on. It's not done yet but you can see our schedule breakdown with NET Quadrants and records here:

https://www.bracketologists.com/team/utah-state-aggies

Outside of the team pages not a lot is complete yet.
Amazing website. Wow.

If you are taking suggestions, on the team pages I notice that the chart which tracks NET rating over time scales from 1-400. It can be difficult to see changes. Would there be any way to dynamically make the scale fit the values better? So, for the Aggies our NET has gone from 47 to 47 to 51 to 55. Perhaps fit the scale from 45 to 60. If our rating moves outside of that, the scale would adjust accordingly, such as if we move up to 43 the scale would be 40 to 60.

Might not be as good for comparing teams since the scale would be different for each, but I don't suppose that is the main use of the trend line anyway.

Anyway, just a thought.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

I made some small tweaks to the graph. It's something that sap and I argued about. Being that I was the programmer I initially won but if other's want that then I'll give in a little.

Zaggie07 · Post by **Zaggie07** » December 19th, 2019, 5:09 pm

ProvoAggie wrote:
Zaggie07 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 4:33 pm

ProvoAggie wrote:This is something that treesap and I are working on. It's not done yet but you can see our schedule breakdown with NET Quadrants and records here:

https://www.bracketologists.com/team/utah-state-aggies

Outside of the team pages not a lot is complete yet.
Amazing website. Wow.

If you are taking suggestions, on the team pages I notice that the chart which tracks NET rating over time scales from 1-400. It can be difficult to see changes. Would there be any way to dynamically make the scale fit the values better? So, for the Aggies our NET has gone from 47 to 47 to 51 to 55. Perhaps fit the scale from 45 to 60. If our rating moves outside of that, the scale would adjust accordingly, such as if we move up to 43 the scale would be 40 to 60.

Might not be as good for comparing teams since the scale would be different for each, but I don't suppose that is the main use of the trend line anyway.

Anyway, just a thought.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk
I made some small tweaks to the graph. It's something that sap and I argued about. Being that I was the programmer I initially won but if other's want that then I'll give in a little.

Increments of 25 works. You are a wizard.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

sneed · Post by **sneed** » December 19th, 2019, 7:54 pm

SDSU didn’t stay at #1 very long. Cool they are so high.

Donman · Post by **Donman** » December 19th, 2019, 8:13 pm

sneed wrote:SDSU didn’t stay at #1 very long. Cool they are so high.

Higher than Love and Bright?

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Real Life Aggie · Post by **Real Life Aggie** » December 19th, 2019, 8:35 pm

Donman wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 8:13 pm

sneed wrote:SDSU didn’t stay at #1 very long. Cool they are so high.
Higher than Love and Bright?

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk

Pretty blunt comment.

dogie · Post by **dogie** » December 19th, 2019, 8:42 pm

treesap32 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 9:41 am
The life of NET ratings... Win against USF on a neutral site and drop in the rankings. USF went up by losing to us.

Maybe because the two teams essentially played to a tie game and the USU and USF ended up getting repositioned a little closer to each other.

Post by **treesap32** » December 20th, 2019, 7:52 am

dogie wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 8:42 pm

treesap32 wrote: ↑
December 19th, 2019, 9:41 am
The life of NET ratings... Win against USF on a neutral site and drop in the rankings. USF went up by losing to us.
Maybe because the two teams essentially played to a tie game and the USU and USF ended up getting repositioned a little closer to each other.

Margin of victory does weigh into the formula, but I suspect the weight is very little. But you are correct, for overtime games, the winning team is granted a 1 point win, regardless of the margin of victory at the end of any overtimes.

freakboy · Post by **freakboy** » December 20th, 2019, 1:04 pm

Margin of victory is capped at 10, but net efficiency is effectively a margin of victory and that is uncapped.

jpswensen · Post by **jpswensen** » December 20th, 2019, 1:58 pm

ProvoAggie and treesap32, have you guys posted this places like Reddit's /r/CollegeBasketball? I suspect you could get a lot of national interest because of how clean and easy to follow the website design is.

Is your server set up to take a huge load if it did get some national attention? Or, have you already been getting national recognition and we just don't know about it.

Post by **treesap32** » December 20th, 2019, 2:53 pm

jpswensen wrote: ↑
December 20th, 2019, 1:58 pm
ProvoAggie and treesap32, have you guys posted this places like Reddit's /r/CollegeBasketball? I suspect you could get a lot of national interest because of how clean and easy to follow the website design is.

Is your server set up to take a huge load if it did get some national attention? Or, have you already been getting national recognition and we just don't know about it.

Someone from this thread posted it on Reddit yesterday and it did get a good amount of love. Right now it's on a shared server, but if it takes off we might look at upgrading it. We'll see.

GUS · Post by **GUS** » December 20th, 2019, 4:00 pm

Somebody over on boogerboard mentioned it and set up a link. Don't let anyone tell you that they aren't interested in USU. Many of their members regularly lurk here.

SLB · Post by **SLB** » December 22nd, 2019, 2:41 pm

We are #51.

SLB · Post by **SLB** » December 22nd, 2019, 2:45 pm

From the NET rankings
0-2 Q1 games (St. Mary's and BYU)
2-0 Q2 games (LSU and Florida)
2-0 Q3 games (North Texas and USF)
7-0 Q4 games (everyone else not named STK)
1-0 non-D1 game (STK)

Roy McAvoy · Post by **Roy McAvoy** » December 22nd, 2019, 2:58 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
December 22nd, 2019, 2:41 pm
We are #51.

Thanks for the update. And massive props for actually putting this in its proper thread instead of just creating another new thread again and typing one line.

SLB · Post by **SLB** » December 22nd, 2019, 3:08 pm

Upset alert
#221 UAB beat #23 Duquesne
I suspected this might happen this Duquense has played weak opponents, and UAB is not a bad team.
#131 South Carolina beat #31 Virginia.
#115 New Mexico State got a road win against #90 Miss. State. MWC wins on this one since New Mexico State played New Mexico and Colorado State, and we might be in the top 50 from this.
#25 Richmond lost to #148 Radford 73-58.

Post by **treesap32** » December 23rd, 2019, 11:03 am

We're back in the top 50. Click the image for more details.

SweepDance · Post by **SweepDance** » December 23rd, 2019, 4:03 pm

Margin of victory may be capped at 10 points, but those 10 points seem to weigh pretty heavily in the formula. Anytime I see a team move up or down significantly it's usually the result of a 10+ point win.

stwinward · Post by **stwinward** » December 23rd, 2019, 4:13 pm

I just clicked into this site. This is amazing. Well done, guys! I am honored to share time on a fan board with the likes of you.

SweepDance · Post by **SweepDance** » December 23rd, 2019, 4:22 pm

By the way, just had a BYU fan at work mention the site to me. Word is spreading!

scotlandog · Post by **scotlandog** » December 25th, 2019, 5:21 pm

Does anyone know of a NET predictor that would say what our NET would be IF we had beaten St Mary’s and BYU? Where would we be at if we were undefeated?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

BLUERUFiO · Post by **BLUERUFiO** » December 25th, 2019, 6:45 pm

The NET Bracket on the site says we are the first of the first four out.

ineptimusprime · Post by **ineptimusprime** » December 25th, 2019, 6:55 pm

Our net ranking and, ultimately, seeding rests largely on how Florida and LSU do in SEC play.

sneed · Post by **sneed** » December 25th, 2019, 7:49 pm

scotlandog wrote:Does anyone know of a NET predictor that would say what our NET would be IF we had beaten St Mary’s and BYU? Where would we be at if we were undefeated?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

That would be a cool feature. I really liked the rpi forecast - that would be a cool add on in the future. Predicts games you will win and percentages and what rpi (net in this case) you would likely have with number of wins and probabilities.

Post by **treesap32** » December 25th, 2019, 8:34 pm

sneed wrote: ↑
December 25th, 2019, 7:49 pm

scotlandog wrote:Does anyone know of a NET predictor that would say what our NET would be IF we had beaten St Mary’s and BYU? Where would we be at if we were undefeated?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That would be a cool feature. I really liked the rpi forecast - that would be a cool add on in the future. Predicts games you will win and percentages and what rpi (net in this case) you would likely have with number of wins and probabilities.

Freakboy is hoping to build this exact feature in a new website, but it's pretty hard when the NCAA won't release their formula for NET. Instead of having transparency, they have made it a secretive proprietary formula which is hard to predict. They've also reserved the right to tweak it along the way to their liking, even during the season.

scotlandog · Post by **scotlandog** » December 25th, 2019, 8:39 pm

treesap32 wrote:
sneed wrote: ↑
December 25th, 2019, 7:49 pm

scotlandog wrote:Does anyone know of a NET predictor that would say what our NET would be IF we had beaten St Mary’s and BYU? Where would we be at if we were undefeated?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That would be a cool feature. I really liked the rpi forecast - that would be a cool add on in the future. Predicts games you will win and percentages and what rpi (net in this case) you would likely have with number of wins and probabilities.
Freakboy is hoping to build this exact feature in a new website, but it's pretty hard when the NCAA won't release their formula for NET. Instead of having transparency, they have made it a secretive proprietary formula which is hard to predict. They've also reserved the right to tweak it along the way to their liking, even during the season.

Understood. I was curious to see how big a negative impact those games have against us since both are playing pretty well. Is it a real negative effect against us or it it more a loss of a positive effect for us. Both are very close to us in the NET rankings.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Post by **ProvoAggie** » December 25th, 2019, 8:41 pm

scotlandog wrote:
treesap32 wrote:
sneed wrote: ↑
December 25th, 2019, 7:49 pm

scotlandog wrote:Does anyone know of a NET predictor that would say what our NET would be IF we had beaten St Mary’s and BYU? Where would we be at if we were undefeated?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That would be a cool feature. I really liked the rpi forecast - that would be a cool add on in the future. Predicts games you will win and percentages and what rpi (net in this case) you would likely have with number of wins and probabilities.
Freakboy is hoping to build this exact feature in a new website, but it's pretty hard when the NCAA won't release their formula for NET. Instead of having transparency, they have made it a secretive proprietary formula which is hard to predict. They've also reserved the right to tweak it along the way to their liking, even during the season.
Understood. I was curious to see how big a negative impact those games have against us since both are playing pretty well. Is it a real negative effect against us or it it more a loss of a positive effect for us. Both are very close to us in the NET rankings.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

It's pretty much a loss of being a positive. Losing Q1 and Q2 games don't really hurt you but winning them gives you a boost.

Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk

Post by **SDSU** » December 25th, 2019, 11:44 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
December 22nd, 2019, 2:41 pm
We are #51.

we are the #1 team in the country. SDSU

Cuchelain · Post by **Cuchelain** » December 26th, 2019, 12:38 am

Are you sure about that SDSU? Your moniker notwithstanding, the number of times you talk about BYU in your posts makes me question your claim that you are really a San Diego state fan. Seems to me you are a closet BYU fan trying to troll under a false identity as an Aztec.

utaggies · Post by **utaggies** » December 26th, 2019, 8:06 am

Cuchelain wrote: ↑
December 26th, 2019, 12:38 am
Are you sure about that SDSU? Your moniker notwithstanding, the number of times you talk about BYU in your posts makes me question your claim that you are really a San Diego state fan. Seems to me you are a closet BYU fan trying to troll under a false identity as an Aztec.

DFTT - don’t feed the trolls

usu99 · Post by **usu99** » December 26th, 2019, 10:43 am

The sucky part is just like football we can't beat the teams ahead of us.

flying_scotsman2.0 · Post by **flying_scotsman2.0** » December 26th, 2019, 10:56 am

usu99 wrote: ↑
December 26th, 2019, 10:43 am
The sucky part is just like football we can't beat the teams ahead of us.

Well, we did beat SDSU.

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