WAB Metric

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justinmorrey
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WAB Metric

Post by justinmorrey » January 8th, 2025, 10:06 am

On the NCAA Net rankings page I noticed a metric called “WAB”. I’d never heard of it before. It stands for Wins Above Bubble and is supposed to measure how much better a team’s resume is compared to a team that is on the cusp of making the tournament.

Utah State is ranked 11th in WAB. Not bad.
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Re: WAB Metric

Post by ProvoAggie » January 8th, 2025, 11:15 am

WAB was added to the team sheets this year and yesterday it replaced the Home Record on the NCAA website so it's definitely important. It's a metric that was created by Barttorvik. Bart described the metric as:
The WAB number isn't how many games a bubble team would win against that team's schedule, it's how many MORE (or fewer) games a team has won against its schedule than a bubble-quality team would be expected to win. So say a team has a schedule that a bubble quality team would be expected to go 10-10 against. If the team is actually 15-5, that's a WAB of +5.0. If they were 5-15, the team's WAB would be -5.0. If they are 10-10, it's par, 0.
On his website he has us listed as 9th in the country with 3.3 Wins Above Bubble. The NCAA uses the same formula to calculate but they have different input number to calculate it. Unfortunately the NCAA only shares their rankings and not the value that goes behind it.
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Re: WAB Metric

Post by FloridaAggie13 » January 8th, 2025, 11:25 am

Good! I thought it was the "Weak (I can't express myself without swearing) (I can't express myself without swearing)" metric and was worried we were ranked 11th. Thanks for clarifying. I guess it's a good thing we ranked so high.



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Re: WAB Metric

Post by QuackAttackAggie » January 8th, 2025, 11:48 am

FloridaAggie13 wrote:Good! I thought it was the "Weak (I can't express myself without swearing) (I can't express myself without swearing)" metric and was worried we were ranked 11th. Thanks for clarifying. I guess it's a good thing we ranked so high.
They retired that version once David Collette transfered to Utah and broke the computers that run it.


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Re: WAB Metric

Post by Mr. Sneelock » January 8th, 2025, 4:42 pm

Wet-(I can't express myself without swearing) (I can't express myself without swearing)?


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Re: WAB Metric

Post by Yossarian » January 8th, 2025, 5:22 pm

So it's a metric similar to the WAR (wins above replacement) used in MLB statistics to put a score on a player's value (in team wins contributed) as compared to a league average replacement for that player?


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Re: WAB Metric

Post by kenpo » January 8th, 2025, 5:51 pm

Mr. Sneelock wrote:
January 8th, 2025, 4:42 pm
Wet-(I can't express myself without swearing) (I can't express myself without swearing)?
San Jose's floor crew is #1 on this metric.



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