NET rankings update on the remaining schedule breakdown

SLB · Post by **SLB** » January 25th, 2023, 9:09 am

Q1- San Diego State (twice), Boise State, New Mexico, and Nevada
Q2- UNLV, Colorado State, and San Jose State (all road games)
Q3- Air Force, Fresno State, and Wyoming

hipsterdoofus21 · Post by **hipsterdoofus21** » January 25th, 2023, 12:09 pm

got to win those 3/4 home games against the Q1 teams.

ineptimusprime · Post by **ineptimusprime** » January 25th, 2023, 12:15 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 9:09 am
Q1- San Diego State (twice), Boise State, New Mexico, and Nevada
Q2- UNLV, Colorado State, and San Jose State (all road games)
Q3- Air Force, Fresno State, and Wyoming

We’ve only got one more game that should be a layup — home against Air Force. I see the rest as basically a mix of toss-ups and games we’ll be underdogs in.

It’s a great opportunity to pick up some solid wins to bolster a resume, but also a schedule in which things could unravel REALLY fast.

Starts tonight — early returns against Q1 opponents are not great, but we’ll see what this team is really made of through the closing stretch that starts tonight.

jpswensen · Post by **jpswensen** » January 25th, 2023, 1:00 pm

Those Q4 games really killed us. There are only 6 teams in the Top 100 that have two Q4 losses

95 Charlotte 49ers
91 Yale Bulldogs
83 UAB Blazers
72 Iona Gaels
56 Clemson Tigers
35 USU

We have to pick up some Q1 wins or we are toast come Selection Sunday

hipsterdoofus21 · Post by **hipsterdoofus21** » January 25th, 2023, 3:38 pm

What are the odds of Weber and SMU getting up to Q3 losses?

Aggie84025 · Post by **Aggie84025** » January 25th, 2023, 4:02 pm

hipsterdoofus21 wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 3:38 pm
What are the odds of Weber and SMU getting up to Q3 losses?

Slim to none for Weber as they would need to get to 160 and are currently at 214. SMU has a real shot since they only need to get to 200 are are at 210.

Bank Shot · Post by **Bank Shot** » January 25th, 2023, 4:06 pm

Aggie84025 wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 4:02 pm

hipsterdoofus21 wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 3:38 pm
What are the odds of Weber and SMU getting up to Q3 losses?
Slim to none for Weber as they would need to get to 160 and are currently at 214. SMU has a real shot since they only need to get to 200 are are at 210.

Yep. Weber has almost no chance with no Q1 or Q2 games remaining. SMU has 2 Q1 and 3 Q3 left, starting tonight at Memphis, which a win there would probably get them above 200.

Correction: SMU/Memphis is tomorrow night. I saw the point spread on bracketologist and assumed it was tonight.

scotlandog · Post by **scotlandog** » January 25th, 2023, 4:25 pm

We are in dire need of Q1 wins. If I had to choose, I would take all of those games home. Lo and behold, we have all of them at home. So wish come true. We can’t win most, then we proved we do t belong. That’s ok, we would all know the truth. If we win most of them, then we proved we belong.

(The away game at UNLV may end up being Q1 since they are only 6 spots away from the cutoff line at 75.)

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

dogie · Post by **dogie** » January 25th, 2023, 6:10 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 9:09 am
Q1- San Diego State (twice), Boise State, New Mexico, and Nevada
Q2- UNLV, Colorado State, and San Jose State (all road games)
Q3- Air Force, Fresno State, and Wyoming

The home game against Nevada is currently a Q2 game. They are 34 and would need to be in the top 30 for it to be Q1.

SLB · Post by **SLB** » January 25th, 2023, 8:49 pm

dogie wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 6:10 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 9:09 am
Q1- San Diego State (twice), Boise State, New Mexico, and Nevada
Q2- UNLV, Colorado State, and San Jose State (all road games)
Q3- Air Force, Fresno State, and Wyoming
The home game against Nevada is currently a Q2 game. They are 34 and would need to be in the top 30 for it to be Q1.

They changed it. It was 1-35 at home to be Q1.

Yossarian · Post by **Yossarian** » January 26th, 2023, 1:32 am

scotlandog wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 4:25 pm
We are in dire need of Q1 wins. If I had to choose, I would take all of those games home. Lo and behold, we have all of them at home. So wish come true. We can’t win most, then we proved we do t belong. That’s ok, we would all know the truth. If we win most of them, then we proved we belong.

(The away game at UNLV may end up being Q1 since they are only 6 spots away from the cutoff line at 75.)

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

If I remember correctly, we struggled to beat San Jose State at home, right? I think the Aggies will be lucky to win one of those games.

918AGG · Post by **918AGG** » January 26th, 2023, 9:52 am

jpswensen wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 1:00 pm
Those Q4 games really killed us. There are only 6 teams in the Top 100 that have two Q4 losses

95 Charlotte 49ers
91 Yale Bulldogs
83 UAB Blazers
72 Iona Gaels
56 Clemson Tigers
35 USU

We have to pick up some Q1 wins or we are toast come Selection Sunday

But, on the flip side, we also have zero Q2 and zero Q3 losses.

There are plenty of teams ahead of us in the NET with Q2 and Q3 losses.

With that said, I'm not sure that I'll ever be able to forgive the Weber loss.

utaggies · Post by **utaggies** » January 26th, 2023, 10:25 am

918AGG wrote: ↑
January 26th, 2023, 9:52 am

jpswensen wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 1:00 pm
Those Q4 games really killed us. There are only 6 teams in the Top 100 that have two Q4 losses

95 Charlotte 49ers
91 Yale Bulldogs
83 UAB Blazers
72 Iona Gaels
56 Clemson Tigers
35 USU

We have to pick up some Q1 wins or we are toast come Selection Sunday
But, on the flip side, we also have zero Q2 and zero Q3 losses.

There are plenty of teams ahead of us in the NET with Q2 and Q3 losses.

With that said, I'm not sure that I'll ever be able to forgive the Weber loss.

The Weber St. game won’t keep us out of the NCAA tourney. Losses @FSU, @SJS, @CSU or home losses to more that 1 of SDS, NM, BSU and Nevada will keep us out of the tourney.

NVAggie · Post by **NVAggie** » January 26th, 2023, 10:36 am

As a team highly reliant on the three point shot, we are susceptible to hot and cold stretches in games. Weber was an example of that. I would also say that Nevada and SDSU were examples of that as well. We don't excel in any other way on the court that makes up for a cold stretch.

Post by **treesap32** » January 26th, 2023, 2:24 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 8:49 pm

dogie wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 6:10 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 9:09 am
Q1- San Diego State (twice), Boise State, New Mexico, and Nevada
Q2- UNLV, Colorado State, and San Jose State (all road games)
Q3- Air Force, Fresno State, and Wyoming
The home game against Nevada is currently a Q2 game. They are 34 and would need to be in the top 30 for it to be Q1.
They changed it. It was 1-35 at home to be Q1.

Nope, it's always been 1-30 at home to be Q1.

dogie · Post by **dogie** » January 26th, 2023, 3:42 pm

treesap32 wrote: ↑
January 26th, 2023, 2:24 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 8:49 pm

dogie wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 6:10 pm

SLB wrote: ↑
January 25th, 2023, 9:09 am
Q1- San Diego State (twice), Boise State, New Mexico, and Nevada
Q2- UNLV, Colorado State, and San Jose State (all road games)
Q3- Air Force, Fresno State, and Wyoming
The home game against Nevada is currently a Q2 game. They are 34 and would need to be in the top 30 for it to be Q1.
They changed it. It was 1-35 at home to be Q1.
Nope, it's always been 1-30 at home to be Q1.

One point I haven’t seen mentioned much is that the large majority of Q1 games in general (not necessarily any specific team such as USU) are going to be on the road or neutral sites. You can’t expect to see too many top 30 games at home, and you’re typically going to play a larger number of top 75 games on the road.

If the top MWC teams can move into or remain in the top 30, the Aggies could get as many as four home and three road Q1 games. They just need Nevada to move up a few spots.

OKAggie · Post by **OKAggie** » January 28th, 2023, 3:07 pm

Also four of our current Q3 wins could conceivably become Q2 wins: our home wins against #76 Bradley, #78 UVU, #79 Santa Clara and #80 UNLV become Q2 wins if they slide into the top 75.

dogie · Post by **dogie** » January 28th, 2023, 4:50 pm

OKAggie wrote: ↑
January 28th, 2023, 3:07 pm
Also four of our current Q3 wins could conceivably become Q2 wins: our home wins against #76 Bradley, #78 UVU, #79 Santa Clara and #80 UNLV become Q2 wins if they slide into the top 75.

It’s kind of interesting that USU had beaten 76, 78, 79 and 80 at home.

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