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Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
- USU78
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Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/group/17
Mountain Division Odds Right Now:
USU 33.4%
Boazy 12.1%
CSU 4.1%
AFA 4.0%
Wyoming 0.0%
UNM 0.0%
Of course, our odds of winning the CCG are only 8.1% right now, but that's behind only FSU, SDSU, and Reno.
Mountain Division Odds Right Now:
USU 33.4%
Boazy 12.1%
CSU 4.1%
AFA 4.0%
Wyoming 0.0%
UNM 0.0%
Of course, our odds of winning the CCG are only 8.1% right now, but that's behind only FSU, SDSU, and Reno.
You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
I was looking at this myself. ESPN's computer clearly thinks that one of the teams in the West division is in the Mountain Division because otherwise the percentages don't make sense. So our real chances of making the CCG are probably significantly higher than 33.4%. Crazy.
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- flying_scotsman2.0
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Yeah. Apparently there is roughly at 46% chance that the Mountian division is so bad that they let two west teams play.StanfordAggie wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 2:00 pmI was looking at this myself. ESPN's computer clearly thinks that one of the teams in the West division is in the Mountain Division because otherwise the percentages don't make sense. So our real chances of making the CCG are probably significantly higher than 33.4%. Crazy.
(Doing math in my head so if it is off, don't hate)
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Pretty cool, it sure is exciting. I still can't believe we are in this position. Just need to keep taking one game at a time.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
They have Fresno as a member of the mountain division. Just based on how the math looks.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
We should make it. Beat air force head to head so we are basically 2 games ahead of them since we hold the tiebreaker. Boise already has 2 losses and still plays in Fresno and San Diego. We just beat csu and wyoming isnt good. It is ours for the taking.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
I think so too.
BSU beats CSU
SDSU beats BSU
USU could then drop one and still win.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
The boys need to come ready to play against Hawaii. That’s not going to be an easy game.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
You are correct, it will not be an easy game. I only watched a little bit of HAW, but they have some play makers on that team. I am encouraged that NMSU put up 34 points last night at HAW. I do think the offense will hopefully be able to score 30+ points.
Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Hawaii’s wins are against fcs Portland State who has won three games this year, New Mexico State twice, and Fresno. You might say that Fresno win was big but Fresno coughed up the ball 6 times and had 120 yards in penalties and barely lost. Hawaii is not very good.Aggie84025 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:41 pmYou are correct, it will not be an easy game. I only watched a little bit of HAW, but they have some play makers on that team. I am encouraged that NMSU put up 34 points last night at HAW. I do think the offense will hopefully be able to score 30+ points.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Neither is UNLV or CSU and we damn near lost those.jeffdan25 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:51 pmHawaii’s wins are against fcs Portland State who has won three games this year, New Mexico State twice, and Fresno. You might say that Fresno win was big but Fresno coughed up the ball 6 times and had 120 yards in penalties and barely lost. Hawaii is not very good.Aggie84025 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:41 pmYou are correct, it will not be an easy game. I only watched a little bit of HAW, but they have some play makers on that team. I am encouraged that NMSU put up 34 points last night at HAW. I do think the offense will hopefully be able to score 30+ points.
I’m thinking the weather might favor us considerably in that game. Freeze the pineapples off the Hawaiians.
Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Read "New Mexico State Twice" a few times thinking it was a typo, then went and looked it up to confirm. That's some weird scheduling.jeffdan25 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:51 pmHawaii’s wins are against fcs Portland State who has won three games this year, New Mexico State twice, and Fresno. You might say that Fresno win was big but Fresno coughed up the ball 6 times and had 120 yards in penalties and barely lost. Hawaii is not very good.Aggie84025 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:41 pmYou are correct, it will not be an easy game. I only watched a little bit of HAW, but they have some play makers on that team. I am encouraged that NMSU put up 34 points last night at HAW. I do think the offense will hopefully be able to score 30+ points.
- AGGIEinIOWA
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
This game may turn into a track meet considering how both defenses give up yardage. What’s the over/under on this one?
- MaverickAggie
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Slim80 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:54 pmNeither is UNLV or CSU and we damn near lost those.jeffdan25 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:51 pmHawaii’s wins are against fcs Portland State who has won three games this year, New Mexico State twice, and Fresno. You might say that Fresno win was big but Fresno coughed up the ball 6 times and had 120 yards in penalties and barely lost. Hawaii is not very good.Aggie84025 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 5:41 pmYou are correct, it will not be an easy game. I only watched a little bit of HAW, but they have some play makers on that team. I am encouraged that NMSU put up 34 points last night at HAW. I do think the offense will hopefully be able to score 30+ points.
I’m thinking the weather might favor us considerably in that game. Freeze the pineapples off the Hawaiians.
Looks like terrific weather with a 1PM kick. Not to mention, I've sat in Romney thinking insane wind/sleet/snow would slow down the team from Hawaii only to watch them run us over on multiple occasions.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
And exactly which of our games have been easy thus far?
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
This team squeaks out wins. I think if they rely on that type of luck continuing our chances of making the CCG go to zero fairly quickly. We've got to have the offense consistently scoring touchdowns on most possessions if we are going to make it to the CCG. I think we've got a lot of problems that need to be solved, and that we've been exceptionally lucky so far.
I think we are *capable* of beating Hawaii, but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if we lost the game because the offense fizzled on a critical drive, and the defense let them march down the field (just like they let CSU do on the last three possessions).
I think we are *capable* of beating Hawaii, but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if we lost the game because the offense fizzled on a critical drive, and the defense let them march down the field (just like they let CSU do on the last three possessions).
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
None! That’s exactly my point. We can’t get too far ahead of ourselves with championship game talk. One week at a time boys, one week at a time.utaggies wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 8:08 pmAnd exactly which of our games have been easy thus far?
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Cordeiro their starting QB has missed the last 2 games with an injury. It sounds like he was pretty close to starting against NMSU. If he starts their offense will be improved.JSHarvey wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 8:45 pmThis team squeaks out wins. I think if they rely on that type of luck continuing our chances of making the CCG go to zero fairly quickly. We've got to have the offense consistently scoring touchdowns on most possessions if we are going to make it to the CCG. I think we've got a lot of problems that need to be solved, and that we've been exceptionally lucky so far.
I think we are *capable* of beating Hawaii, but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if we lost the game because the offense fizzled on a critical drive, and the defense let them march down the field (just like they let CSU do on the last three possessions).
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
There are no easy wins for this team. The aggies are so limited on both sides of the ball it's hard to imagine that they can keep it up but they have somehow with some grit and some very unaggie like luck.Aggie84025 wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 10:22 pmCordeiro their starting QB has missed the last 2 games with an injury. It sounds like he was pretty close to starting against NMSU. If he starts their offense will be improved.JSHarvey wrote: ↑October 24th, 2021, 8:45 pmThis team squeaks out wins. I think if they rely on that type of luck continuing our chances of making the CCG go to zero fairly quickly. We've got to have the offense consistently scoring touchdowns on most possessions if we are going to make it to the CCG. I think we've got a lot of problems that need to be solved, and that we've been exceptionally lucky so far.
I think we are *capable* of beating Hawaii, but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if we lost the game because the offense fizzled on a critical drive, and the defense let them march down the field (just like they let CSU do on the last three possessions).
As long as Devin Tompkins is healthy though I think they will be in every remaining game late in the 4th.
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Every time someone talks about an easy win over someone I just chuckle. There will be no easy wins this year.
- AGGIEinIOWA
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Re: Ags' Chances at Reaching the CCG
Anyone have a scouting report on the Hawaii O and D lines? We’ve played some pretty formidable Dlines of late and Bonner has been continually under duress. Looking at recent box scores it doesn’t seem the Bows have much of a pass rush. We may pick them apart. On the other side, we may give up another 150 yard rusher.