25 ewe (79.84)
31 Boazy (78.366) <3-27> @ USU
39 yBu (74.59) <20-34> @ USU
47 San Diego (71.99)
49 AFA (73.71) <49-45> @ AFA
53 Reno (73.00)
58 Fresno (72.85)
64 Wazzu (71.76) <26-23> @ WSU
78 Colo St (70.15) <26-24> @ USU
81 USU (66.81)
101 Wyoming (63.84) <USU by 5.57> @ USU
102 Colorado (65.75)
105 San Jose (62.23) <USU by 1.98> @ SJSU
109 Hawai'i (61.02) <USU by 8.39> @ USU
120 No Dakota (60.40) <48-24> @ USU
123 UTEP (55.31)
124 Weebe (59.98)
131 Vegas (59.14) <28-24> @ Vegas
135 New Mejico (52.09) <USU by 12.12> @ UNM
187 NewMags (44.86) <USU by 19.35> @ NMSU
209 So Ewe (39.14)
230 Dixie (33.64)

The Ags have 2 more home games are are favored in each. Hawai'i this Saturday by 8.39 and Wyoming for Senior Day by 5.57. That's roughly by a TD each. Sagarin expects both to be close, hard-fought contests favoring the home team. Wyoming's fall from grace has been remarkable after such a promising start. This week's game is a tough one to figure. Hawai'i can be lights out at home, but on the road they've not entirely sucked. I worry about our defense this week and am unhappy I had to give my brother my ticket. I'd like to be there to see the Ags get bowl eligible.

The Ags are favored in each of the remaining road games by Sagarin. San Jose looks to be the toughest, even with their last-year's-world-beater QB still out injured. USU by 1.98. We'll see how that goes. The New Mexico twins are both troubling, the Mags because they put a bunch of points up and the sLobos because they definitely showed signs of life yesterday. Ags favored by 12.12 and 19.35 on the road. If such a thing as a gimme exists, it's the NewMag game. I'm still worried.

That's a 10-2 regular season.

Our chances of winning each of our games against the remainder of the schedule per ESPN FPI:

San Jose 48.5%
Wyoming 58.5%
Hawai'i 74.6%
New Mexico 74.7%
New Mexico State 84.4%

That's a 9-3 regular season.

GoAgs!

PS: Did you notice that USU is now 3-2 against higher-rated teams? Yeah.

These Sagarin ratings aren't making much sense to me.
How is SDSU rated the 47th best team in the country... undefeated, and 22 spots below the UofU which they defeated?

Sl7vk wrote: ↑

October 24th, 2021, 2:25 pm

These Sagarin ratings aren't making much sense to me.
How is SDSU rated the 47th best team in the country... undefeated, and 22 spots below the UofU which they defeated?

2 pt win at home. But I agree.

Same with csu. Losses against a fcs school and Vanderbilt but rated above us? I guess keeping it close at Iowa really helped them.