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SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
- thegreendalegelf
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SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Here is how SP+ predicts us and our opponents.
First number is overal ranking out of 130. 2nd is SP+ overall score. 3rd is SP+ Offensive score (ranking). Then SP+ Defensive score (ranking)
USU - 121 - -17.5 20.1 (111) 37.6 (118)
@ Washington State - 46 - 7.8 40.4 (12) 32.6 (102)
North Dakota - N/A
BYU - 52 - 5.7 36.8 (24) 31.1 (90)
@ NMSU - 130 - -31.5 12.2 (130) 43.8 (129)
@ Air Force - 93 - -6.3 23.9 (92) 30.1 (86)
@ New Mexico - 124 - -20.0 22.8 (96) 42.8 (128)
@ San Jose State - 81 - -2.3 26.6 (84) 28.9 (78)
@ UNLV - 123 - -19.5 19.2 (114) 38.7 (121)
Boise State - 39 - 9.3 33.4 (39) 24.0 (50)
Colorado State - 96 - -7.2 21.5 (102) 28.6 (72)
Hawaii - 105 - -10.2 24.9 (91) 35.1 (111)
Wyoming - 80 - -2.1 20.7 (107) 22.8 (42)
So in short it expects our season to go like this (2.5 point advantage to the home team)
Loss to Washington State by 27.8
Win vs North Dakota
Loss to BYU by 20.7
Win vs NMSU by 11.5
Loss vs Air Force by 13.7
Tie vs New Mexico
Loss vs San Jose State by 17.7
Loss to UNLV by 0.5
Loss to Boise State by 24.3
Loss to Colorado State by 7.8
Loss to Hawaii by 4.8
Loss to Wyoming by 12.9
Going 2-9-1
We have 4 tossups (within 8 points) UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State, and Hawaii. So with just a 1 point improvement in our ranking we go 4-8. A bowl game is within reach and I think a fair goal for the season. I think 8-4 is our ceiling.
First number is overal ranking out of 130. 2nd is SP+ overall score. 3rd is SP+ Offensive score (ranking). Then SP+ Defensive score (ranking)
USU - 121 - -17.5 20.1 (111) 37.6 (118)
@ Washington State - 46 - 7.8 40.4 (12) 32.6 (102)
North Dakota - N/A
BYU - 52 - 5.7 36.8 (24) 31.1 (90)
@ NMSU - 130 - -31.5 12.2 (130) 43.8 (129)
@ Air Force - 93 - -6.3 23.9 (92) 30.1 (86)
@ New Mexico - 124 - -20.0 22.8 (96) 42.8 (128)
@ San Jose State - 81 - -2.3 26.6 (84) 28.9 (78)
@ UNLV - 123 - -19.5 19.2 (114) 38.7 (121)
Boise State - 39 - 9.3 33.4 (39) 24.0 (50)
Colorado State - 96 - -7.2 21.5 (102) 28.6 (72)
Hawaii - 105 - -10.2 24.9 (91) 35.1 (111)
Wyoming - 80 - -2.1 20.7 (107) 22.8 (42)
So in short it expects our season to go like this (2.5 point advantage to the home team)
Loss to Washington State by 27.8
Win vs North Dakota
Loss to BYU by 20.7
Win vs NMSU by 11.5
Loss vs Air Force by 13.7
Tie vs New Mexico
Loss vs San Jose State by 17.7
Loss to UNLV by 0.5
Loss to Boise State by 24.3
Loss to Colorado State by 7.8
Loss to Hawaii by 4.8
Loss to Wyoming by 12.9
Going 2-9-1
We have 4 tossups (within 8 points) UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State, and Hawaii. So with just a 1 point improvement in our ranking we go 4-8. A bowl game is within reach and I think a fair goal for the season. I think 8-4 is our ceiling.
- thegreendalegelf
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Also Bill C says that he included transfers in the calculation. But a lot of our transfers weren't producers at their past school but are expected to contribute here so they don't add much more than a hyped backup moving into the starting spot.
- ViAggie
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Hawaii was pretty good last year, do we see any fall off? No idea about ND, will FCS have a spring season this year or not? It would be interesting to see how well they do. I'm scared about every game, this could be a rough year, but then again, Anderson could pull a Craig Smith?
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- JSHarvey
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Given all the unknowns and last year's dismal performance I can see why they would rank us like that. I expect/hope we do much better than they predict.
"The purpose of education is not to validate ignorance but to overcome it." Lawrence Krauss
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"Thinking is the hardest work there is, that's why so few people do it!" Henry Ford
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Based on the dismal performance from last year and everything that went on I agree with those rankings. That being said I am confident that BA will get this team to perform better than what people outside the program expect. We brought in a lot of transfers with some of them not playing much at prior schools, but they fit the need of holes we had here. Excited for the season.
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- ViAggie
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
I love the optimism!Aggie84025 wrote: ↑February 10th, 2021, 9:08 amBased on the dismal performance from last year and everything that went on I agree with those rankings. That being said I am confident that BA will get this team to perform better than what people outside the program expect. We brought in a lot of transfers with some of them not playing much at prior schools, but they fit the need of holes we had here. Excited for the season.
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
As an aggie fan without optimism there is not much to cheer for at times.ViAggie wrote: ↑February 10th, 2021, 11:40 amI love the optimism!Aggie84025 wrote: ↑February 10th, 2021, 9:08 amBased on the dismal performance from last year and everything that went on I agree with those rankings. That being said I am confident that BA will get this team to perform better than what people outside the program expect. We brought in a lot of transfers with some of them not playing much at prior schools, but they fit the need of holes we had here. Excited for the season.
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- AussieAggieDad
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
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- ViAggie
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
I'd love to be 6-6 after the end of next season.
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- AGinNEIowa
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Missouri Valley Football Conference is playing now - week 3 is coming this weekend.ViAggie wrote: ↑February 9th, 2021, 10:15 amHawaii was pretty good last year, do we see any fall off? No idea about ND, will FCS have a spring season this year or not? It would be interesting to see how well they do. I'm scared about every game, this could be a rough year, but then again, Anderson could pull a Craig Smith?
ND won at home against Southern Illinois in week 1 and South Dakota St in week 2 - they are in 1st in the MVFC
in week 2 - Southern Illinois beat defending champs NDSU - ending the Bison 39 game win streak
I've wondered if after a full conference schedule in the spring if FCS would maybe roll back the number of games in the fall? I haven't heard anything, it just seems like a lot of FB in much closer proximity than normal.
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- ViAggie
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
I doubt it will change anything, they want the moneyAGinNEIowa wrote: ↑March 3rd, 2021, 9:27 amMissouri Valley Football Conference is playing now - week 3 is coming this weekend.ViAggie wrote: ↑February 9th, 2021, 10:15 amHawaii was pretty good last year, do we see any fall off? No idea about ND, will FCS have a spring season this year or not? It would be interesting to see how well they do. I'm scared about every game, this could be a rough year, but then again, Anderson could pull a Craig Smith?
ND won at home against Southern Illinois in week 1 and South Dakota St in week 2 - they are in 1st in the MVFC
in week 2 - Southern Illinois beat defending champs NDSU - ending the Bison 39 game win streak
I've wondered if after a full conference schedule in the spring if FCS would maybe roll back the number of games in the fall? I haven't heard anything, it just seems like a lot of FB in much closer proximity than normal.
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Just another day in the (Aggie) Brotherhood
Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
I believe we will be much better than predicted.
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Roll Aggies!!!!
- AGinNEIowa
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Re: SP+ 2021 Preseason Rankings
Looks like ND beat SD last night; 21-10 now 3-0ViAggie wrote: ↑March 3rd, 2021, 4:50 pmI doubt it will change anything, they want the moneyAGinNEIowa wrote: ↑March 3rd, 2021, 9:27 amMissouri Valley Football Conference is playing now - week 3 is coming this weekend.ViAggie wrote: ↑February 9th, 2021, 10:15 amHawaii was pretty good last year, do we see any fall off? No idea about ND, will FCS have a spring season this year or not? It would be interesting to see how well they do. I'm scared about every game, this could be a rough year, but then again, Anderson could pull a Craig Smith?
ND won at home against Southern Illinois in week 1 and South Dakota St in week 2 - they are in 1st in the MVFC
in week 2 - Southern Illinois beat defending champs NDSU - ending the Bison 39 game win streak
I've wondered if after a full conference schedule in the spring if FCS would maybe roll back the number of games in the fall? I haven't heard anything, it just seems like a lot of FB in much closer proximity than normal.
2023-24 BOWL PICK'EM Deadline is 12/16 1:30pm
WEEK 14 PICK'EM Results
KICKOFF PICKEM Summary & Results
YTD STANDINGS -WEEKLY PICKEM & WTHG
WEEK 14 PICK'EM Results
KICKOFF PICKEM Summary & Results
YTD STANDINGS -WEEKLY PICKEM & WTHG