How many wins this 8 game season.

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How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Jjoey52 » October 1st, 2020, 8:06 pm

How many wins do the Aggies get this season? My guess is 2 or 3. They should beat New Mexico at home, I am counting that one for sure. They should win one or both of the Fresno State and CSU games. The rest do not bode well. Hopefully, I am wrong by several games. The joker in the deck which could change thing is the new QB from the U.


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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by ineptimusprime » October 1st, 2020, 8:11 pm

Jjoey52 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:06 pm
How many wins do the Aggies get this season? My guess is 2 or 3. They should beat New Mexico at home, I am counting that one for sure. They should win one or both of the Fresno State and CSU games. The rest do not bode well. Hopefully, I am wrong by several games. The joker in the deck which could change thing is the new QB from the U.
I honestly don’t know what to expect. I am hoping for 4 wins, but think that may be a stretch. I am glad we avoided our non-con schedule, which I think would have been brutal.

I think we can beat UNM, Nevada, and Wyoming. Hoping to steal at least one other.

Zero confidence in Gary and co. Hope to be wrong, and honestly just glad we get to have a season.
Last edited by ineptimusprime on October 1st, 2020, 8:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by slcagg » October 1st, 2020, 8:13 pm

ineptimusprime wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:11 pm
Jjoey52 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:06 pm
How many wins do the Aggies get this season? My guess is 2 or 3. They should beat New Mexico at home, I am counting that one for sure. They should win one or both of the Fresno State and CSU games. The rest do not bode well. Hopefully, I am wrong by several games. The joker in the deck which could change thing is the new QB from the U.
I honestly don’t know what to expect. I am hoping for 4 wins, but think that may be a stretch. Zero confidence in Gary and co. Hope to be wrong, and honestly just glad we get to have a season.
I am more confident in Gary this year as he is returning to the style of football he is used to and the defense We have had success with.

However that is a difficult schedule. I think 4-4 would be great as we build for the next couple of years. Like you I am excited for the season.

One thing to remember we have the third best winning percentage in the conference since we joined. I think we can do well.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aggie formerly in Hawaii » October 1st, 2020, 8:24 pm

Yeah I would be happy with a 4-4 record. 2021 is where the expectations get ramped up.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Sl7vk » October 1st, 2020, 8:29 pm

Give me 4 wins and the Arizona bowl and I’ll do a cartwheel!
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by YoungBloodAggie » October 1st, 2020, 8:47 pm

FIVE AND THREE BABY. Let yourself believe in something. It is better to believe and be disappointed than to live a cynical life about the things you love.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aggie formerly in Hawaii » October 1st, 2020, 8:52 pm

YoungBloodAggie wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:47 pm
FIVE AND THREE BABY. Let yourself believe in something. It is better to believe and be disappointed than to live a cynical life about the things you love.
One way to look at it. Another way, is there is nothing wrong as a fan with being wrong when your team exceeds your expectations. I wouldn't have predicted us beating San Diego State in the conference title game, but I was as happy as everyone else when it happened.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by flying_scotsman2.0 » October 1st, 2020, 9:13 pm

8 games, huh? Imma say 9-0.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aggie84025 » October 1st, 2020, 9:18 pm

BSU- Probable Loss
SDSU- Toss up. I think we can beat those guys.
@Nev- Toss up.
Fresno- Probable win.
@WYO- Probable loss.
NM- Win
AF- Toss up. looks like they have lost a lot defensive players. We match up better strategy wise this year.
CSU- Toss up

If we can get 4 wins with this schedule I will tickled pink. A good season this year will set us up for a 2018 type year next year.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by slcagg » October 1st, 2020, 9:21 pm

Aggie84025 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 9:18 pm
BSU- Probable Loss
SDSU- Toss up. I think we can beat those guys.
@Nev- Toss up.
Fresno- Probable win.
@WYO- Probable loss.
NM- Win
AF- Toss up. looks like they have lost a lot defensive players. We match up better strategy wise this year.
CSU- Toss up

If we can get 4 wins with this schedule I will tickled pink. A good season this year will set us up for a 2018 type year next year.
Did air forces stud qb get reinstated?



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aggie84025 » October 1st, 2020, 9:23 pm

slcagg wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 9:21 pm
Aggie84025 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 9:18 pm
BSU- Probable Loss
SDSU- Toss up. I think we can beat those guys.
@Nev- Toss up.
Fresno- Probable win.
@WYO- Probable loss.
NM- Win
AF- Toss up. looks like they have lost a lot defensive players. We match up better strategy wise this year.
CSU- Toss up

If we can get 4 wins with this schedule I will tickled pink. A good season this year will set us up for a 2018 type year next year.
Did air forces stud qb get reinstated?
Not sure. I know reading on he MWC board an AF poster mentioned that when someone is placed on leave like that they generally do not bet reinstated that season.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Imakeitrain » October 1st, 2020, 9:27 pm

5 wins, with an unpromising start.

BSU- L
SDSU-L
UNR- W
Fresno-W
Wyo- W
NM- W
AF- W
CSU- L


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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by sambonethegreat » October 1st, 2020, 9:52 pm

We won’t lose to CSU. I’m guessing 5-3.


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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by troutputz » October 1st, 2020, 9:59 pm

5 wins!



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by AggieUprising50 » October 1st, 2020, 10:14 pm

The X factor is being able to stop the run of defense. If we can do that I predict we go 6-2, maybe even 7-1.

If not, we’ll be lucky to go 4-4.

Either our D-line is going to have to step up big time or we are going to have to be very aggressive blitzing and use those blitzes to confuse the opposing line.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by OrangeCountyAggie » October 1st, 2020, 11:28 pm

ineptimusprime wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:11 pm
Jjoey52 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:06 pm
How many wins do the Aggies get this season? My guess is 2 or 3. They should beat New Mexico at home, I am counting that one for sure. They should win one or both of the Fresno State and CSU games. The rest do not bode well. Hopefully, I am wrong by several games. The joker in the deck which could change thing is the new QB from the U.
I honestly don’t know what to expect. I am hoping for 4 wins, but think that may be a stretch. I am glad we avoided our non-con schedule, which I think would have been brutal.

I think we can beat UNM, Nevada, and Wyoming. Hoping to steal at least one other.

Zero confidence in Gary and co. Hope to be wrong, and honestly just glad we get to have a season.
And you call yourself an Aggie fan? :wtf:



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by OrangeCountyAggie » October 1st, 2020, 11:29 pm

flying_scotsman2.0 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 9:13 pm
8 games, huh? Imma say 9-0.
How bout 10-0 and a Fiesta Bowl win?
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aglicious » October 1st, 2020, 11:59 pm

Wow, I'm sort of shocked at the low expectations around here. Is it lack of confidence in GA? Feeling that we lost too many important players? Not experienced enough right now to win? All of the above?

I have said every season that 7 wins is the floor for this program and I'm not varying from that no matter how many games we play.


Now, let me put down my Mountain Dew (real sugar of course - can I get an amen @treesap32 ?) and remove my deep blue shaded glasses for a moment. Okay, I am willing to make a one-time Covid exception this season and say 5 wins is the floor. We should be better than 5 of these teams without much stretch of the imagination if we stay healthy.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by ViAggie » October 2nd, 2020, 12:33 am

Y’all are nuts, I’m battling .600 this season and I say 6-2 baaaybay!


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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by stang » October 2nd, 2020, 12:53 am

I wish I were nearly as optimistic as some of you, and I certainly hope I’m wrong. I’m just out on Gary, out on our defense, and I don’t think we could have possibly drawn a worse schedule. 2, maybe 3 wins.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Intermeddler » October 2nd, 2020, 1:56 am

stang wrote:
October 2nd, 2020, 12:53 am
I wish I were nearly as optimistic as some of you, and I certainly hope I’m wrong. I’m just out on Gary, out on our defense, and I don’t think we could have possibly drawn a worse schedule. 2, maybe 3 wins.
I’m with you. I would have said 4-5 wins with our original 12-game schedule. I think we only lost 1 win from that schedule so I’ll say 3-4 wins leaning towards 3.

We lost a lot of talent on offense. Receiver and QB are question marks. DL really concerns me and we were horribly slow on defense last year and most of what I’ve heard about GA has me concerned.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by slcagg » October 2nd, 2020, 4:21 am

sambonethegreat wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 9:52 pm
We won’t lose to CSU. I’m guessing 5-3.


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I agree. The program has some issues. Toughest games in order are Boise, San Diego, and then at Wyoming. I’d say only one of those one team will he clearly favored.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by sam tingey » October 2nd, 2020, 7:04 am

We beat sdsu this year. Those guys are sooo behind in practice since newsom wouldn't let them play.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Madmartigan » October 2nd, 2020, 8:05 am

I am less worried about San Diego State given their lack of preparation.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Roy McAvoy » October 2nd, 2020, 8:21 am

Aglicious wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:59 pm
Wow, I'm sort of shocked at the low expectations around here. Is it lack of confidence in GA? Feeling that we lost too many important players? Not experienced enough right now to win? All of the above?

I have said every season that 7 wins is the floor for this program and I'm not varying from that no matter how many games we play.


Now, let me put down my Mountain Dew (real sugar of course - can I get an amen @treesap32 ?) and remove my deep blue shaded glasses for a moment. Okay, I am willing to make a one-time Covid exception this season and say 5 wins is the floor. We should be better than 5 of these teams without much stretch of the imagination if we stay healthy.
I think the low expectations are rooted in the relative difficulty of our schedule. This is the toughest conference schedule we will have ever played.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by AGGIEinIOWA » October 2nd, 2020, 8:47 am

First thought was we win maybe 3-4 games but after analyzing every game I feel more confident in our chances to win 5 or 6. Four of our opponents are breaking in new coaches. AF will be short handed, NM is bad, and UNR is unpredictable.

BSU (L) - We aren't there yet. Maybe next year at home we take them down.
SDSU (W) - No Rocky Long pacing the sidelines and the Aztecs take a few games to find themselves. First home game for us and lack of prep by them also a factor this early in the season.
UNR (W) - Nevada is so unpredictable. Beat FSU and SDSU on the road late last season but then lose to UNLV and struggle against Weber and UTEP. This one could go either way but I just think we have better athletes and coaching.
Fresno (W) - New coach for Fresno and we are starting to get into a groove. Too much momentum to lose this one at home.
Wyo (L) - This will be a physical battle. I think Pokes challenge Boise for conference this year. No shame in this loss.
NM (W) - Complete rebuild going on at NM. Hopefully we finally get some backups into a game.
AF (W) - We still have difficulty stopping their running game but better than last year. Their shorthanded defense can't stop us either and we have more explosive plays.
CSU (W) - We always struggle at FOCO but our emergent running game controls the clock and we win in a snowy game.

Go Ags!



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by AGinNEIowa » October 2nd, 2020, 8:47 am

Roy McAvoy wrote:
October 2nd, 2020, 8:21 am
Aglicious wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:59 pm
Wow, I'm sort of shocked at the low expectations around here. Is it lack of confidence in GA? Feeling that we lost too many important players? Not experienced enough right now to win? All of the above?

I have said every season that 7 wins is the floor for this program and I'm not varying from that no matter how many games we play.


Now, let me put down my Mountain Dew (real sugar of course - can I get an amen @treesap32 ?) and remove my deep blue shaded glasses for a moment. Okay, I am willing to make a one-time Covid exception this season and say 5 wins is the floor. We should be better than 5 of these teams without much stretch of the imagination if we stay healthy.
I think the low expectations are rooted in the relative difficulty of our schedule. This is the toughest conference schedule we will have ever played.
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aggie84025 » October 2nd, 2020, 9:05 am

Roy McAvoy wrote:
October 2nd, 2020, 8:21 am
Aglicious wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:59 pm
Wow, I'm sort of shocked at the low expectations around here. Is it lack of confidence in GA? Feeling that we lost too many important players? Not experienced enough right now to win? All of the above?

I have said every season that 7 wins is the floor for this program and I'm not varying from that no matter how many games we play.


Now, let me put down my Mountain Dew (real sugar of course - can I get an amen @treesap32 ?) and remove my deep blue shaded glasses for a moment. Okay, I am willing to make a one-time Covid exception this season and say 5 wins is the floor. We should be better than 5 of these teams without much stretch of the imagination if we stay healthy.
I think the low expectations are rooted in the relative difficulty of our schedule. This is the toughest conference schedule we will have ever played.
This is the same exact conference schedule we played last year. Granted the games have swapped from road to home vice versa. It will be interesting how it plays out. AF has like 40 players sitting out a lot who played defense, so I doubt they will be the as good as last year.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by flying_scotsman2.0 » October 2nd, 2020, 9:21 am

OrangeCountyAggie wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:29 pm
flying_scotsman2.0 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 9:13 pm
8 games, huh? Imma say 9-0.
How bout 10-0 and a Fiesta Bowl win?
11-0 and the natty. Have we hit the ceiling yet?



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by AGinNEIowa » October 2nd, 2020, 10:59 am

4 MW wins
4 cancelled MW games
bowl win
5-0 bayyyybeeeeee
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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by USU78 » October 2nd, 2020, 11:03 am

@Boazy - Probable loss
SDSU - Tossup
@Nevada - Tossup
Fresno - Tossup
@Wyoming - Tossup
New Mexico - Probable win
Air Force - Tossup
@CSU - Tossup

The way I approach these is first to examine whether there are any definitive probable wins and losses. I only see 2: 1-1. That leaves 6 games as tossups, 3 at home and 3 on the road.

Then I look at the road tossup schedule, which I assume to be around 1-2.

Then I look at the home tossup schedule, which I assume to be around 2-1.

Finally, I look to see if there are any games that especially look difficult or less difficult for us among the tossup games.

For these games, assuming as I do a considerable improvement in both overall defense and offensive line play, I don't see any reason to make any serious changes.

@Boazy - Probable loss (L: 0-1)
SDSU - Tossup (W: 1-1)
@Nevada - Tossup (W: 2-1)
Fresno - Tossup (W: 3-1)
@Wyoming - Tossup (L: 3-2)
New Mexico - Probable win (W: 4-2)
Air Force - Tossup (L: 4-3)
@CSU - Tossup (L: 4-4)

We thus go 3-1 at home, but steal one on the road, @ Nevada, for a 4-4 record, though I'd be unsurprised at 3-5 or 5-3, especially since I always think we'll have a good chance to split the Wyo/CSU games.

Can anybody explain why we always have those Wyo and CSU games at home or on the road in the same years? Don't get that.


You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by hickaggie » October 2nd, 2020, 4:09 pm

I think 4-4 is the most likely but there are reasons for optimism:

1. A healthy (now) experienced O line with great tackles
2. Great RB talent and depth
3. Running QB
4. Bad weather homegames and CSU/WY which should benefit rushing heavy offenses.
5. A defensive scheme in theory that plays to players strengh and has been successful here in the past.

Worries:
1. Defense-Different coordinator-same coaching.
2. D-line depth and experience.
3. Unproven secondary.
4. Unproven Coordinator and QB
5. Gary Anderson's recent record.

While Boise will probably kill the Aggies this game comes in the best possible position. The donks haven's seen on film either the new D or offense while Boise isn't going to change anything,. San Diego state has to come to Logan. AFU has lost 10-20 players. CSU is a mess. The Aggies should have a four win floor but...it could also go south quick.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by ineptimusprime » October 2nd, 2020, 10:01 pm

Aglicious wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:59 pm
Wow, I'm sort of shocked at the low expectations around here. Is it lack of confidence in GA? Feeling that we lost too many important players? Not experienced enough right now to win? All of the above?

I have said every season that 7 wins is the floor for this program and I'm not varying from that no matter how many games we play.


Now, let me put down my Mountain Dew (real sugar of course - can I get an amen @treesap32?) and remove my deep blue shaded glasses for a moment. Okay, I am willing to make a one-time Covid exception this season and say 5 wins is the floor. We should be better than 5 of these teams without much stretch of the imagination if we stay healthy.
I won’t speak for anyone else, but for me it’s lack of confidence in GA and remembering how last season shook out. Last season was the least fun I’ve had as an Aggie football fan in quite some time.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by ineptimusprime » October 2nd, 2020, 10:04 pm

OrangeCountyAggie wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:28 pm
ineptimusprime wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:11 pm
Jjoey52 wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 8:06 pm
How many wins do the Aggies get this season? My guess is 2 or 3. They should beat New Mexico at home, I am counting that one for sure. They should win one or both of the Fresno State and CSU games. The rest do not bode well. Hopefully, I am wrong by several games. The joker in the deck which could change thing is the new QB from the U.
I honestly don’t know what to expect. I am hoping for 4 wins, but think that may be a stretch. I am glad we avoided our non-con schedule, which I think would have been brutal.

I think we can beat UNM, Nevada, and Wyoming. Hoping to steal at least one other.

Zero confidence in Gary and co. Hope to be wrong, and honestly just glad we get to have a season.
And you call yourself an Aggie fan? :wtf:
I mean, I am famously pessimistic. Don’t let me rain on your parade. Just don’t see it this year. Hope the guys prove me wrong!

I also happen to be a Kansas fan, and the pessimism from following Kansas bleeds into the Ags sometimes too.

I also think we were (I can't express myself without swearing) nuts to rehire Gary, and have been on record about it. Don’t root against him, but have zero confidence in him. It is what it is.



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Re: How many wins this 8 game season.

Post by Aggie84025 » October 2nd, 2020, 10:24 pm

ineptimusprime wrote:
October 2nd, 2020, 10:01 pm
Aglicious wrote:
October 1st, 2020, 11:59 pm
Wow, I'm sort of shocked at the low expectations around here. Is it lack of confidence in GA? Feeling that we lost too many important players? Not experienced enough right now to win? All of the above?

I have said every season that 7 wins is the floor for this program and I'm not varying from that no matter how many games we play.


Now, let me put down my Mountain Dew (real sugar of course - can I get an amen @treesap32?) and remove my deep blue shaded glasses for a moment. Okay, I am willing to make a one-time Covid exception this season and say 5 wins is the floor. We should be better than 5 of these teams without much stretch of the imagination if we stay healthy.
I won’t speak for anyone else, but for me it’s lack of confidence in GA and remembering how last season shook out. Last season was the least fun I’ve had as an Aggie football fan in quite some time.
How many wins is a successful year for you? Or is it the type of football that was played.



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