BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

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BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by BigBlueDart » November 16th, 2018, 11:31 am

This week we see most of our stats improving, or at least holding from last week. The exception to this is our Pass D. I think this might be at least partly due to missing Shaq Bond in the backfield. But one thing that makes this exercise a bit hard to interpret is how often we put 2nd/3rd stringers in and the effect they have on our numbers. It often depends on when they come in and how good a day they are having.

Colorado State actually looks a lot like SJSU last week. In fact, I usually copy the last weeks charts as a starting point for each new week. I didn't have to change the color coding on any of their numbers. The difference is that Colorado St is a bit better on offense, but actually, they're slightly worse than the Spartans on defense. The Rams' passing attack will likely get some ground against our slightly below average secondary, but on the whole we should absolutely dominate them. In fact, if there is snow in Fort Collins tomorrow then that might hamper the effectiveness of their passing attack. At least we have an excellent ground game, on top our superb passing game.

USU
Score O: 51.3 Avg; 32.9 Opp. D; 18.4 ppg better; 56.07%
Rush O: 224.1 Avg; 180.3 Opp. D; 43.8 ypg better; 24.27%
Pass O: 293.4 Avg; 246.7 Opp. D; 46.7 ypg better; 18.93%
Total O: 517.5 Avg; 427.0 Opp. D; 90.5 ypg better; 21.19%
Score D: 21.9 Avg; 25.4 Opp. O; 3.5 ppg better; 13.75%
Rush D: 134.1 Avg; 154.4 Opp. O; 20.3 ypg better; 13.16%
Pass D: 226.4 Avg; 210.6 Opp. O; -15.8 ypg worse; -7.49%
Total D: 360.5 Avg; 365.0 Opp. O; 4.5 ypg better; 1.24%

Colorado St
Score O: 23.1 Avg; 28.7 Opp. D; -5.6 ppg worse; -19.48%
Rush O: 100.4 Avg; 159.4 Opp. D; -59.0 ypg worse; -37.01%
Pass O: 297.9 Avg; 240.6 Opp. D; 57.3 ypg better; 23.83%
Total O: 398.3 Avg; 400.0 Opp. D; -1.7 ypg worse; -0.42%
Score D: 38.5 Avg; 29.1 Opp. O; -9.4 ppg worse; -32.17%
Rush D: 210.0 Avg; 155.5 Opp. O; -54.5 ypg worse; -35.04%
Pass D: 253.9 Avg; 238.9 Opp. O; -15.0 ypg worse; -6.26%
Total D: 463.9 Avg; 394.5 Opp. O; -69.5 ypg worse; -17.61%

And the official BBD BS prediction:
USU - 58.80 (266.18 rush, 304.48 pass, 570.66 total)
Colorado St - 17.96 (77.59 rush, 298.71 pass, 376.30 total)



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by BigBlueDart » November 16th, 2018, 11:37 am

Here is where both teams rank in the various categories within the conference:

Score O: USU-1st; CSU-10th
Rush O: USU-3rd; CSU-11th
Pass O: USU-5th; CSU-3rd
Total O: USU-1st; CSU-8th

Score D: USU-6th; CSU-12th
Rush D: USU-7th; CSU-12th
Pass D: USU-7th; CSU-5th
Total D: USU-7th; CSU-10th



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by BigBlueDart » November 16th, 2018, 11:40 am

And an overall ranking of the conference looks like this:

1. Fresno St (+95.92%)
2. USU (+92.24%)
3. Boise St (+79.98%)
4. Air Force (+53.88%)
5. Nevada (+32.69%)
6. SDSU (+17.09%)
7. Wyoming (-4.85%)
8. Hawai'i (-19.86%)
9. New Mexico (-33.93%)
10. UNLV (-36.46%)
11. Colorado St (-69.67%)
12. SJSU (-70.35%)



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by ViAggie » November 16th, 2018, 11:56 am

I'm not buying that Colorado State is some wounded animal, we better come in hungry ready for a fight!!!! :x


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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by MetsJetsAggies » November 16th, 2018, 12:39 pm

As someone who watched the entire Nevada-Colorado St game...they absolutely are a wounded animal. Maybe a dead animal even



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by ViAggie » November 16th, 2018, 12:41 pm

MetsJetsAggies wrote:
November 16th, 2018, 12:39 pm
As someone who watched the entire Nevada-Colorado St game...they absolutely are a wounded animal. Maybe a dead animal even
I watched that game too, well flipped between that game and the UNLV/SDSU game. Takeaways: Nevada is good!


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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by Aggie84025 » November 16th, 2018, 12:58 pm

Nevada looks really improved this year. Be interesting to see who they have to replace Gangi. There running back Taufa is a hard runner and good back.



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by Elkaggie » November 17th, 2018, 10:52 am

Didn’t we offer Taufa? I swear it came down to us and then.



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by Madmartigan » November 17th, 2018, 11:01 am

Elkaggie wrote:
November 17th, 2018, 10:52 am
Didn’t we offer Taufa? I swear it came down to us and then.
We did and we were in his final 3. He has a relative on their coaching staff or something. It was almost a foregone conclusion he’d end up there as a result.



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Re: BBD Stats - Week 12 (Colorado St)

Post by slcagg » November 17th, 2018, 11:09 am

Brother is an assistant. We were in his final 3 along with Iowa st.



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