Scoring:

USU's Scoring v yBu's Scoring D: 29.8 --> 21.3; Average: 25.55
yBu's Scoring v USU's Scoring D: 32.6 --> 24.8; Average: 28.7

Rushing:

USU's Rushing v yBu's Rushing D: 164.8 --> 140.2; Average: 152.5
yBu's Rushing v USU's Rushing D: 138.5 --> 163.7; Average: 151.1

Passing:

USU's Passing v yBu's Passing D: 199.3 --> 210.0; Average: 204.65
yBu's Passing v USU's Passing D: 295.9 --> 171.0; Average: 233.45

Calling it: USU falls short, 26-29, rushing for 155 and passing for 205; yBu rushes for 150 and passes for 230

Turnovers: yBu suffers .13 fewer turnovers per game than USU does. If we get an advantage here, we win, quite simply.

Sagarin Power Rankings:

70.56 + 2.68 - 76.57 = -3.33 points in yBu's favor

Sagarin Predictor:

71.16 + 2.68 - 76.34 = -2.50 points in yBu's favor

VegasInsider.com:

Stench presently -3.0 (opened at -2.0); O/U is 55.5

Hence Vegas Bettors think yBu wins: 26.25-29.25 (originally thought 26.25-28.25)

You will note Vegas arrives at the same probable result as my averaging system, which is so close to Sagarin that it's virtually identical, regardless which measure you use.